FULL UFC Vegas 71
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Interesting card for betting.

Everyone and their mother seems sure the main event is ending early, and there are obvious reasons for that. Sergei is a mad man, he seemed unstoppable against Tai. And I will not be surprised if the chinny Curtis Blaydes has issues handling the initial onslaught, but Curtis has the tools and the well rounded game to avoid that obvious danger. If they can get out of the 1st round, that O 1.5 will look like free money at +115, and Blaydes DEC at +800 will be LIVE. Small play, but you give me 7.5 minutes of sloppy HW fighting in the small cage and I profit.

I see sharps backing Rosa, and I just don’t get it. Dumont at close to even money, I believe, will end up looking like a steal. She is the far more aggressive athlete, and much bigger. I like her skillet set over Rosa, level of experience, most recent fights. Happy to back Dumont here.

Tafa and Danaa should both have a clear striking edge, and are dangerous when that’s the case.

Brad Tavares has always come up short fighting the very best, but he is a true top 15 UFC middleweight. Dare I say he is underrated. I expect him to prove himself to be a different level than the faltering Bruno Silva. People love to give Bruno Silva credit for going 3 rounds with Alex Pereira, but he was rocked bad 2 different times, and most recently he was pieced up by decorated and feared striker Gerald Meerschaert. Can also use Tavares as a bit of a hedge since he’s late on the card.

Good luck, degens!!