FULL UFC 298
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Think Miranda runs over Lee, wanted to do ITD but had enough with her in the top line.

Big fan of Rinya, think he is one of the better prospects in the UFC.

Lemos has been vulnerable to grapplers, and Dern has been vulnerable to a strong stand up game. I just see Dern being able to grab a hold of her at some point and get the sub, more than I see Lemos being able to take her out on the feet. Close fight, but like the lines here with Dern.

Fluffy vs Kopylov is a great fight. Kopylov has some solid takedown defence, and has shown some really effective stand up. Fluffy is just relentless. Dude is like the Mexican Khabib. Both of these guys have shown some really solid improvements and come into this fight with some serious momentum. But I like Fluffys pace and grappling, along with his higher level of experience.

Henry still looked solid in his last fight against Aljo. As much as we may want to root against him, and all signs point to him being on his way down, we still have to accept him at face value. So we need to be careful about our conviction on Merab here. I do believe Merab is the side. But this fight is a good example of the value of hopping on lines early, which I unfortunately do not have the luxury of doing properly. If you got Merab near even money you have a great bet. With Merab > -200, you need to find other ways to get some value. This fight won’t make or break me, but it could help if the far more active and relentless MMA grappler takes one from the aging former champion who is looking for his first win since the start of the pandemic. Grabbing decision here feels like a safe bet as well.

Garry vs Neal is interesting. It is a great fight. Neal lost to Shavkat, but it was one of those fights that almost seemed to lift his stock. Neal hurt the iron chined Shavkat a few times. And when you think about how Neal matches up against Garry, you can imagine Neal finding his chin over the course of a 15 minute fight. And its not just his recent fight, he holds a win over Belal! Neal has been a dark horse in this division for awhile. However, I think this is a fight where it can be helpful to zoom out. Neal is 33, Garry is 26. Neal has one way to win this fight, Garry has a few options. Taking a flier here on Neal at these prices is reasonable, but I still cap this fight for Garry. Ultimately I think his physicality and grappling will be too much for Neal. And he has the striking to be effective on the feet.

On paper, Whittaker looks like a good bet. He’s got the better record and more well rounded game, but I think the stylistic clash will end up favouring Paulo. I could see Paulo walking Robert down and finding a big punch. Similar to Rob’s last fight. And I think Secret Juice Paulo is for real, I can see him making a run.

Ilia vs Volk is the best fight in the UFC since Islam vs Volk I. I love Volk and think he is one the very best of all time, and still a top 3 P4P. And, more importantly, he is legitimately hilarious and loveable. He is going to excel in his life after fighting. But Ilia is the real deal. This dude is a killer. I am a big believer in the fighter and his potential as global superstar. Taking the younger guy to take out the old man.

Good luck, degenerates