FULL UFC 294
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Big PPV this week, and boy is it chalky…

Big emphasis on the PRP this week. Volk being near a 2-1 fave gives us a decent hedge out possibility in the main. Over the coming weeks I will be changing how I allocate my units and emphasizing more straight bets opposed to the PRP, even though the PRP has been my most profitable play these last few months. But this is an event to try and utilize the PRP.

Top Line

Aliskerov is much bigger and dangerous everywhere, Alves has a big ask here with this young middleweight.

Khamzat is the dude, man. And Usman has no knees. Khamzat’s pace and strength will be too much for over-the-hill Kamaru Usman. I could see Usman being tough and we see the scorecards, but I could also see Khamzat breaking Usman early like he often does.

Islam won their last fight 4-1 on one judges scorecard. Much of Volks perceived success comes from prior expectations. There is this attitude out there that Volk had a moral victory in their first fight, and he probably did, but it doesn’t matter. Because Islam won the fight. Because he is better. And he will be much better prepared fighter for this fight.

The Rest

Adding in the chalk in order of conviction! Good luck!

The Dogs

Feel good about having the opportunity to back Mohammad Yahya at plus money against Trevor Peek. While he is no world beater, he has the technical striking to be at an advantage against the very limited Peek. Peek is just a tough dude, but he will be vulnerable to counters which the hometown Yahya has an ability to land.