Colby Covington vs Jorge Masvidal – Welterweight – 170 pounds

Time to settle the score!! Bitter rivals and former friends, roommates, training partners – are about fight each other in a cage in front of the whole world. These two have been going at each other for years now, lots of personal attacks. They have both been kicked out of their gym. And there is still talk that this is a “fake” or manufactured feud. And there is definitely a part of me that thought that for awhile as well. Almost everything that comes from Colby is a kayfabe. 

Let’s say they did plan this, that they would start to beef so one day they could fight each other and it would be a big fight. That is possible! But it doesn’t matter. Both these guys have told the world the other guys is a punk. That he sucks. They have put themselves in a situation that will result in only one being able to call himself the alpha. And not only that – the loser will be fighting for relevancy as a top fighter in the UFC. Jorge will probably be ok if he loses? He might have that Diaz type drawing power by now. But that is not how he see’s his career. Jorge still considers himself one of the best in the world. And it is much easier to stay a draw if you are winning fights. And losing 3 straight is very damaging to your brand regardless of how big you are.

And Colby? He is the favourite. He is the one that is supposed to win this fight. He is the one that has pushed Kamaru Usman to his limits. On paper, Colby should be the one who wins this fight. And he definitely can not afford to lose this one. Colby is a “draw” and has a name, no doubt. But he is not in that Conor/Diaz/Masvidal class where he can lose multiple fights and still be in PPV mains and co-mains. He needs to keep winning to stay in those spots. If he gets KOd by Jorge, he will be in a tough spot. Lost twice to Usman, now will be ranked behind his bitter rival Jorge. All the while, Khamzat is waiting in the wings. Waiting to pounce and take over the division. Colby needs to be good enough to beat Jorge Masvidal. Or he is about to find himself in a tough spot, career wise. 

From a stylistic perspective, its pretty simple. Masvidal will want to strike. Colby is going to want to “dump him on his head” and grind him out.

The line has swelled for Colby. But Jorge is a live dog. So much of fighting is mental, and we could see Jorge big brother Colby and break him. And the gap in their striking is real. Could be an interesting fight. 

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Edson Barboza vs Bryce Mitchell – Lightweight – 155 pounds

A classic crossroads fight between two fan favourites.

Edson Barboza has been around forever. He made his debut in 2010! UFC 123, Rampage fought Machida in a non-title bought. And BJ Penn KOd Hughes in like 20 seconds in the co-main! Crazy times. But point being, Barboza has been around the block a few times and he has fought all the best in the world at 155 and 145. We all know and love Edson for his lighting fast kicks and powerful and technical striking. But Edson is a well-rounded fighter and good athlete. He’s has shown strong takedown defense throughout his career, and he is a competent grappler when the fight does go to the ground.

Bryce Mitchell is 14-0 (He did lose to Brad Katona on TUF season 27) and is primarily known for his grappling and submission game. His most notable win was in 2019 when he pulled off the elusive “Twister” against Matt Styles. And he almost got another one against Charles Rosa in his next fight! He has showed improved stand up recently, landing some solid punches in his last fight against Andre Filli.

But matched up against a guy like Edson Barboza, Bryce Mitchell is definitely going to want to use his grappling. He can improve his striking all he wants, he ain’t touching Edson on the feet. So then the question is how much will Edson be able to utilize his time in space, and will Bryce be able to take, and then keep Edson down enough to be the better fighter.

The line here is interesting. We have a good idea of what Edson’s ceiling is. But we don’t exactly know where Bryce’s ceiling is. And when these guys that are on the rise, get the to ‘Edson Barboza’s’ of their division – it is when you find out if the prospect is on their way to becoming a contender. Some would call Edson a “gatekeeper”, but I just think there is more to it than that. Edson is still a threat to anyone at 145.

The styles clash between these two is fun. And career crossroad fights are lots of fun. High stakes! Is Bryce heading to the top 10? Or is Edson keeping the gate locked and his position as the number 10 guy in the division.

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Jalin Turner vs Jamie Mullarkey – Lightweight – 155 pounds

This is a really fun fight. Both these fighters have suffered some losses in the UFC, but they are both entering this fight on winning, and finishing streaks.

Jalin Turner doesn’t have the prettiest record. But there are plenty of numbers in his favour. For example – his age and height! He is a 6’3 lightweight, and at only 26 years old, he already has a ton of high-level experience! Do not let that record fool you, Jalin Turner is good. Really good. We always need to be on the look out for the next Charles Oliveira. Fighters who get started early in the UFC, and look like they have some potential and solid skills. Fighters who look like they might have an extra gear. And Jalin Turner really feels like one of those guys. A fighter who could figure it out and make his way into the top 10 of the sports most competitive division.

Jalin has a ton of power, and has showed some really solid fight IQ and grappling in his recent fights. He’s a good athlete and will be capable anywhere the fight goes.

His opponent is Jamie Mullarkey. After starting his UFC career with 2 losses, he has since won 2 straight via TKO. Jamies most recent performance was a very impressive KO victory over well respected prospect, Devonte Smith. Devonte clipped him a few times early in the fight, and then at some point in the 2nd round, Jamie decided to up the pressure and he overwhelmed Devonte and finished him with strikes against the cage. It was a impressive. And Jamie has looked like a different fighter as of late! He has really improved.

Both these guys are super early in their careers and have shown some serious skills, and improvements as of late. This is a big fight for both their careers progression. Should be an exciting scrap.

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Marina Rodriguez vs Yan Xiaonan – Strawweight – 115 pounds

You know what would be a sick fight? Marina Rodriguez vs Rose Namajunas. It kind of feels like Marina is the forgotten contender at 115. But she is ranked 3rd at 115 and she has won 3 straight! And her most recent loss came to the current number one contender, Carla Esparza.

Marina Rodriguez is good. She has really technical and powerful striking. And she is a very physical fighter for the division, which leads to being difficult to handle on the ground. She might be the best striker in the division, and she would make for an interesting fresh matchup for Rose.

Marina will be taking on the 4th ranked Yan Xiaonan. Yan Xiaonan is a strong striker who likes to come forward and look for the finish. She is coming off a pretty tough loss to Carla Esparza. Carla grappled and advanced pretty easily working her way to a 2nd round finish. For Yan to stay relevant in the 115 pound division, this is a must win. But I think she will have a really tough fight ahead of her. Marina is the dark horse at 115. She has high level striking experience and would be happy to trade on the feet with Rose. I am looking forward to seeing if she can have a big showcase performance Saturday and make her case for a title shot.

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Event Preview – UFC 272

The grudge match has arrived! These two BFFs turned bitter rivals will settle the score on PPV in a non-title fight this Saturday.

It is very rare to have a non-title fight in a PPV main event. And it is even more rare when you exclude Conor McGregor! The other recent example involves half our 272 main event, Jorge Masvidal. And he was opposite Nate Diaz! And they even created some fake BMF title to parade around. And before that, you have to go all the way back to UFC 183! And that still included a Diaz!

Really – the last time the UFC put on a big event without Conor McGregor, a Diaz, or some sort of title on the line, was UFC 114! All the way back in 2010.

And the talk around this fight is pretty interesting among the hardcores. There is talk of a lack of buzz. That maybe this feud is all a work. And of course – there is a big dark Nigerian cloud hanging over this fight. What is even on the line for these two? Is the winner gonna fight Usman a third time??

The real question we need to be asking, and the reason this fight is in fact a big deal – what is next for the loser? Because both these guys carry themselves like they are the best in the world. Like they are the “A side”, the draw. The big deal! But that is hard to claim when you’re not wearing the UFC strap. And it basically becomes impossible for whoever loses this fight.

The loser is facing the worst possible outcome for a prize fighter – becoming irrelevant.
Of course, to some extent, the loser will still be around. Talking trash, fighting whoever. But it would be tough to sell the idea they are a threat to the biggest names in the world. They won’t be in a UFC PPV main event anytime soon.

And – we can be skeptical of how real this beef is, but it is hard to say at this point that this fight isn’t extremely personal. There has been a lot of real-world fallout from this beef. They were both kicked out of ATT at one point, they have talked a bunch of crap publicly for years now. A loss will be devastating for the career and ego for either of these fighters.

Don’t sleep on the rest of the card! The main card is full of compelling and potentially violent matchups. And we got some good young talent on the undercard that should also make for some exciting matchups. Should be fun.

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UFC Fight Night Makhachev vs Green  – Honourable Mentions

Alejandro Perez vs Jonathan Martinez – 145 pounds – Featherweight

These two Bantamweights will fight at 145 this Saturday! I was interested in putting a flier on Perez, but weight issues are not a good sign (It was reported to be Perez who requested the weight change despite Martinez being the one with the weight issues in the past).

And Jonathan Martinez still could put it together and realize his potential. He is still so young, he’s got lots of time to turn the corner.

So no bet on this one. Will watch happily from the sidelines.

Gregory Rodrigues vs Armen Petrosyan – 185 pounds – Middleweight

Two DWCS alum who do not like to go to a decision! And this is a pretty classic grappler vs striker matchup.

Rodrigues definitely carries some solid power and is not bad on the feet overall. But his chin is very suspect, he will be far better off using his world class BJJ.

Armen Petrosyan is going to carry some serious power down to the middleweight division. He is an experienced striker and will be a threat for the KO against a chinny opponent the whole fight.

Lets see who can execute! Should be fun either way.

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Islam Makhachev vs Bobby Green – Catchweight – 160 pounds

The fight we didn’t know we wanted. But we are sure glad to be getting. It really feels like there is something in the air with this one. Maybe its because the uncrowned champ is about to slaughter a late replacement. Or maybe it is because Bobby Green is about to have his Jorge Masvidal moment..

What does that mean exactly? ‘A Jorge Masvidal moment’

Well, much like Jorge Masvidal, Bobby Green has been a well-respected veteran in the UFC (and Strikeforce) for more than a decade. You know how they say, “there are no easy fights in the UFC” – well, they are talking about guys like Jorge Masvidal and Bobby Green. These mainstays who can hang with anyone in the world. The guys who may take home an L every once and awhile, but they will always bring the fight.

A ’Jorge Masvidal moment’ is when a fighter who has paid their dues with the best in the world, finally breaks through.

I think “journeyman” can have a negative connotation to it, but if you’re referring to a “UFC journeyman”, a fighter that has stuck around through multiple generations of fighters, that should be considered a huge compliment. You know how hard it is to be good enough to be competitive in the UFC and be entertaining and do it for like 15 years!? These fan favourites that can stick around deserve a ton of respect. And their skills also deserve a ton respect.

Because Bobby Green is damn a good example of a “UFC journeyman” and he is a damn good fighter. Since 2019 Bobby is 5-2 in the UFC, and if you’ve watched the two losses – you might not hold them against Bobby too much. First of all, he should have won that Moises fight. And Fiziev might be fighting for the title this time next year, and Bobby looked great! He has been on a really good run over these last two years.

The thing we are all wondering is, how will Bobby’s wrestling hold up. Because he has a tall task in front of him in Islam Makhachev. Islam Makhachev feels destined for the title. It’s all but assumed Khabibs predecessor, is going to Khabib his way to the title. And I’d guess he would be the betting favourite against Gaethje and Oliveira. And to be honest, I wasn’t so sure the hype was deserved up until recently. But he seems to have found a different gear in these last two fights, and especially his last fight against Dan Hooker. Hooker is really good! And Islam made it look easy.

Last note on this fight – the line for this fight is whack. I can’t get over it. I want to make the books pay. Stupid casuals..

Might have a juicy bet for this one.

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Arman Tsarukyan vs Joel Alvarez – Lightweight – 155 pounds

This fight. Oh man… This fight. I can not wait. For this fight!! Remember when I said the best fights typically involve the best fighters? Well, this is one of those fights.

The most competitive fight Islam Makhachev has been in recently, was against Arman Tsarukyan. Arman put up a great fight in his UFC debut against who many believe to be the uncrowned best in the world at 155. And Arman reminds me a lot of Islam. A really strong and relentless grappler, who also has some solid striking. Arman is absolutely a guy who could make his way to the title. That loss to Islam does not mean he can’t get it back, he was only 22 at the time! (Don’t forget, Islam lost his second UFC fight) Arman has since won 4 straight and it looks like the only people who will be able to beat him are the Islam Makhachevs of the world.

Which brings us to his opponent, Joel Alvarez. Joel looks like he might be an absolute monster. And I mean that quite literally. He is a 6’2 lightweight! One of the biggest questions coming into this fight is if he can even make weight. But if he can be a healthy 155’er. Oh boy. Look out. We may have something on our hands here.

Joel Alvarez also lost his UFC debut to one of the best in the world, Damir Ismagulov (if you don’t know who he is now, you will soon). But he has also won 4 straight in the UFC since his debut loss! Alvarez has 19 pro wins – and all 19 wins have come via finish! He has 16 wins by submission, and 3 by KO. But what is most interesting to me, is how rapidly Joel Alvarez seems to be improving. He has looked progressively better after each UFC win, but he had a big step up in competition in his last outing against top ranked contender Thiago Moises. Joel went into that fight as +210 underdog, but he absolutely steamrolled Moises. Overwhelmed him and hammered him with elbows until the ref had to step in and save his damn life. It was a mauling, and Moises was just coming off a main event spot against Islam! And Joel made him look like he didn’t even belong in the same organization! Islam didn’t do that to Thiago Moises..

Was that last performance just a beneficial style matchup? Or was it just straight up unfair, Joel did miss the 156 pound limit by 1.5 pounds. Or maybe it was a true breakout performance from one the sports best prospects.

Before we get too excited about Joel Alvarez, we need to know he can be a healthy lightweight. It’ll be something to watch Friday.

But if we can get a healthy version of these two on Saturday – this is arguably the most compelling fight on the card.   

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Ignacio Bahamondes vs Zhu Rong – Lightweight – 155 pounds

Feels like this fight is really flying under the radar. Ignacio is definitely getting some love, he was a DWCS guy and has had some high-quality highlight reel KOs to start his UFC career. But his opponent, Zhu Rong, is being a slept on. This has all the makings of a really fun and competitive fight.

The 24-year-old Ignacio Bahamondes has that sniper like striking. One of those guys that can catch you with a clean and precise counter strike. Or he’ll throw out a wheel kick in the final seconds of a fight that will flatline his opponent (this KO was way underlooked in the 2021 KO of the year discussion). He’s also showed some pretty solid takedown defense! But he also seems to get his a lot..

Ignacio could be a top guy at 155? Hard to know for sure, we’ll see how it goes. But I do think its safe to assume this guy can at least stick around and become a fan favourite. I am definitely looking forward to seeing him compete.

His opponent is Zhu Rong. The 21-year-old Chinese lightweight is 1-1 in the UFC, and he is a solid fighter himself. He’s got quick hands and will mix it up and become a chain wrestler if that is what is working. He’s got some power, finishing 12 of his 18 wins via TKO and he looked really strong in his last outing in the UFC against a very tough MMA vet, Brandon Jenkins.

Ignacio seems like the one people have their eye on, but we shouldn’t be sleeping on Zhu Rong. Both these young lightweights will put on a great fight and could be fighters we are going to see a lot more of down the road in the UFC. I am really looking forward to this one.

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Terrance McKinney vs Fares Ziam – Lightweight – 155 pounds

Terrance McKinney is interesting.

His story is crazy – there is a good chance the first time you encountered Terrance McKinney was the viral video where he was tased by police because he was tripping out on drugs! He died twice in the hospital!! These crazy moments can change peoples lives – and it seems Terrance McKinney used his crazy life changing moment to change his life for the better.

Terrance has a big personality, and a great story. He has all the makings of a potential star! But can he fight? Because there is a limit on how big someone can be if they can’t fight with the best in the world.

Terrance is early in his UFC career, but so far so good. He KOd an established UFC fighter in 7 seconds in his UFC debut! Terrance enters the fight winning 4 straight, all via TKO in the 1st round. Terrance’s background is in wrestling, but he is also ultra aggressive, and carries a ton of power and speed.

And he will have an interesting style matchup in the Frenchmen, Fares Ziam. Fares is 2-1 in the UFC and would be best described as a striker. He has a background in kickboxing, and typically prefers to strike and pick his shots from distance.

From a stylistic matchup, we could have a classic striker vs wrestler fight ahead of us. But Terrance McKinney has not really looked like a chain wrestler as of late. He has been looking Bangkok ready!

I am looking forward to seeing what we have in Terrance McKinney. This fight will be interesting.

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