FULL UFC Vegas 65
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Another Apex show. And this one is rough. But hopefully we can eek out some units.

Natalia Silva looked great against a solid opponent in her UFC debut. Her opponent in this fight will have a similar game plan to her last opponent. Jasudavicius had landed 6 TDs and scored over 14 minutes of control time in her UFC debut and DWCS fight. Silva had a perfect TDD and was the much cleaner striker. Think we see a similar style fight here against Tereza Bleda, but the gap could be wider. Bleda has not fought any true high level comp yet. Small ITD play, and have her in my second PRP line.

Alright, I have talked myself into being a Vanessa Demopoulos backer here. Think the gap on the ground will be far too great. They could end up canceling each other out as neither are true world beaters. But the gap in their striking is much closer than the gap on the ground, favouring Demopoulos.

Oh god. I am doing it. I am backing Chase freaking Sherman. Sherman is well, we all know… but he has tons of experience, and will be happy to strike it out with the UFC newcomer. In low level HW MMA anyone can get taken out, but if nobody finds a chin early, this could get sloppy. And Chase freaking Sherman and his familiarity with that grind could prove to ….. have some value…. (yeesh, that felt gross to type.)

I like the value on some of these overs. Kennedy and Ion are both wild, but I think they may get into some grappling exchanges, and it will be a little sloppy. Which could mean someone gets caught in a sub, or they just cancel eachother out. I think we see at least 7.5 minutes of sloppy grappling, or stalling out on the feet. Ion will be happy to grapple, and could see him take a round or two. Will take a flier on him by DEC at +650. But they are both wild, they could drop each other in the first minute.

Backing Spivak here. Lewis is always a danger on the feet, but the whole world knows this. And Spivak will have the smaller cage to close the gap and wrap Lewis up. Spivak is trending up, and Lewis is on a slide. Like Spivak at -200 here.

This could be a messy card. I try and avoid “bad” unknown fighters, hard to do here.