FULL UFC Vegas 64
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Ok – another Apex show. It isn’t just that it is lame without fans – it’s also that these fights do not contain the best fighters in the world. Plain and simple. They are solid no doubt! But objectively – very few will be considered contenders at any point in their career. The majority of the card would lose to their counterparts in multiple MMA promotions.

We watch the biggest leagues and promotions to watch the best compete. Not every contest is Connor McDavid vs Auston Matthews, but even if you are watching the two worst teams in the NHL, you know there is some integrity and consistency in the quality of the athletes.

MMA does have a different appeal. Because, well, you know. They fight. In a cage..

And truth be told, MMA promotions resemble something much closer to the WWE. So that is the world and model we need to look to. Which is fine tbh, because god knows I love a jobber.

But at this point in my MMA fandom, I really am only interested in watching the best compete. Because when the best in the world are competing – there is no sport like MMA. And that is what I am interested in watching. And I’ll watch the shit out of it!

I actually think this is what Dana White intuitively understands more than any other promoter in history. And is what makes the UFC special.

And don’t get me wrong, I am a firm believer that MMA and the UFC have never been better. We have a whole new calibur of athlete starting to come around on a regular basis. People from hard places who have been training their wholes lives. So it is amazing times to be an MMA fan, no doubt.

But man…these Apex shows sometimes.. yeesh. What are you doing to us Uncle Dana. Just make these 10 Contender series fights or something. Idk.

BETS!!

Ok, so this Madsen – Dawson line makes me think of Fluffy vs MAB. Where I really liked the line on MAB, almost too much (definitely too much lolol). At the time it was making me wonder if I was missing something. Well as it turned out, Fluffy absolutely smothered MAB with his speed, pace, and athleticism. Wonderful performance! And it was evident right away what I had missed.

This Madsen line is giving me similar vibes. Like, its too good to be true, what am I missing here. Dawson fades, and wins by grappling. Madsen, the Olympic silver medalist, should be the better grappler. And despite being much older, has proven to have the better gas tank. He controlled a very tough Vinc Pichel for 4 minutes in the 3rd round of his last fight, and he out struck Clay Guida in every round, which takes the ability to keep a solid pace at the least.

Now this level of competition might not tell us as much as I think, and Dawson could be too fast early in the fight and take some rounds. We’ll see!

I think Mario Bautista very well could be one of those fighters that is a threat one day. I have come around on him as of late. Looking forward to seeing how he looks. But I think he wins this on a bad day pretty easy.

Lastly – this card was helpful in terms of helping shape how I want to build my bets going forward. I have honestly been all over the place the last few months. Way over thinking it. But I think this card has helped – more on that later.