FULL UFC Long Island
LOCKED IN

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Ok – short post this week. I post this graphic of my full locked in bets at the end of every post. But this week I am only posting this.

Few quick thoughts,

I like a lot of the dogs on the card.

Ricky Simon is a tough style matchup for Shore. Simon will be tough to grapple, and Simon has showed some quick hands as of late.

I like Matt Schnell. He has a solid overall game, but he has had a suspect chin over the course of his career and Sumudaerji is the kind of guy that will test it. I have the under play in my long shot, and I do lean Schnell at these prices, so playing the value of the Schnell sub prop, as that is his best path to victory.

Michelle Waterson is way mispriced here. Everyone loves Lemos’ power, but Waterson has a strong stand up game and has been fighting the best in the world most of her career. Lemos was blown out in her last fight, and I do not see her staying near the top of the division for long.

Ortega is the higher level, more well rounded fighter. He has got some solid striking, and his submission game is the obvious path to victory here. He is solid value here.