Straight Bets

This is a fantastic fight. Truly high level. Shame it is buried at the bottom of the card.

The line is rightfully close, and Said will be dangerous everywhere the fight goes. But Ronnie will quick on the feet, and it will be his chain wrestling that I believe will be the difference maker.

Like Gore in this fight. Decent value on the ITD prop here against a guy who does not have a ton of success against top level competition.

Banking on Said continuing his 1st round finishing streak against an aging opponent who is also a favourable style matchup. Silva de Andrade came from behind in his last fight to steal the win, but usually getting beat bad for a round is a bad sign of where a fighter is at. And Said is much better than Sergey Morozov.

Caio will have the more well rounded game, and his grappling should ultimately be the difference maker. Caio has some solid, and improving stand up, but his best path to victory is taking this to the ground. But don’t think the gap is big enough for Caio to get the finish. Armen is solid and beat a good fighter in his last fight.

Caio ML is not great value, but like the value in this decision line.

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Main Parlay

Backing two surging prospects against the aging Brazilian UFC vets.

Another Nurmagomedov another absolute monster prospect. Happy to have him in my top line here.

RDA will need to try and grapple to win this fight, but Fiziev is good at measuring distance and has some solid TDD, sitting at 95% over his 6 UFC fights. Which should mean we see a lot of this fight taking place on the feet, where we will see a clear gap in technique, power, and speed play out over the 25 minutes. RDA is notoriously hard to finish, but this crossroads fight could be a breakout performance for the 29 year old Rafael Fiziev.

Adding Gore and Mullarkey!

Like being on the Gore side at those prices, and he’s a nice addition to parlay.

I like Mullarkey’s game here. Johnson has been around for a long time, and he has developed a reputation as a power puncher, but he only has 2 TKO wins since 2014. One of them was in his last fight against Alan Patrick, and the other was to Dustin Poirier in 2016! He has a solid overall game, but Mullarkey will be tough to take out, and his chain wrestling will create openings for his power. Mullarkey is the younger and more hungry fighter, I don’t love him at these prices, but feel good about adding him to the parlay. Will be hedging him a bit though..

I really like rounding out the main part of the parlay with these two.

Onama is legit, and he should have a serious size advantage here, but this line is crazy. A short notice fight like this can be dangerous.

On Lawrence already, so laying out the risk moving him down the parlay.

Getting juicy adding two more expensive favourites.

It is hard to back Shevchenko riding a two fight losing streak, but her two losses are against much better competition than her opponent in this fight. And she has a great style matchup facing Courtney Casey. Casey will like to keep it on the feet, but Schevchenko could have the advantage here, and she will definitely be more likely to take this to the ground, somewhere Casey has struggled.

Borralho is still unproven. He has not faced any high level competition so this line is a little rich.

Final add! Getting juicy with a dog at the end.

I think we could see Zahabi land a nasty counter against a guy like Ricky Turcios who likes to walk forward and throw.

FULL Main Parlay

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Hedge Parlay

Taking the most juiced line and parlaying with two of the best value picks. Feel confident in all 3, and like this lines value a lot.

This gets to be a pretty juicy line adding these two. Both solid faves, we’ll see how it goes.

FULL Hedge Parlay

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Prop Parlay

First leg of the small prop parlay.

Think Lawrence vs Kakhramonov will be competitive. We should get more than a round and a half out of this fight.

Said should get it done, juicy it up a bit throwing it in a parlay.

Adding Mullarkey ITD to round out the prop parlay.

Mullarkey won a decision in his second pro fight, and has finished every other win since then. Good value adding this line to the parlay.

FULL Prop Parlay

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LONG SHOT PARLAY

The long shot this week!
Good luck!!

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FULL UFC Vegas 57
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