FULL UFC 276
LOCKED IN

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Ok – short post this week. I post this graphic of my full locked in bets at the end of every post. But this week I am only posting this. Won’t have time to do a full post this week, leaving on vacation tomorrow!

Few quick thoughts,

I really like Jalin Turner. And I think he is really good. But Brad Riddell is a bad style matchup for him. Riddell will be able to hang with him on the feet, and is more likely to mix it up with a takedown like he did in his last fight against Drew Dober. And we are getting the more established fighter at plus money! Happy to be on the Riddell side.

Same thing with Strickland. Good value. Well rounded game.

I am confident in Volk. He has been cruising, and Max has taken some damage in his last two fights. If the Max Holloway that fought Yair Rodriguez shows up on Saturday, Volk might be able to take him out. We would all love to see that Max take the belt back. But Max has some miles on him, he will have a harder and harder time cutting the weight, and he lost the first two times to Volk! Like Volk a lot in this one.

Izzy vs Jared might be boring.. But Izzy should be better everywhere this fight goes. His timing and speed will be hard for Jared to get past. But they both have power! Could get spicy at times.

Also,

Ian Garry is fake news. Happy to fade him with a solid fighter like Gabe Green.

The line for the Suga vs Pedro fight is interesting. This could be Suga Sean O’Malley’s coming out party. But Pedro is good! He has been top 10 for a long time, and has some dangerous tools that could be trouble for Sean. This is a big step up for Sean. But on the other hand, Pedro is 35 and on the back half of his career. He has 1 win since 2019 and could be passing his spot in the top 10 to the young star. Low conviction bets on this one, and also playing both sides.