Andre Petroski ML +290 (25.64%) – 1u
Andre Petroski DEC +575 (14.81%) – .25u
Andre Petroski RD 3 +2200 (4.35%) – .1u

I can not believe this line. My conspiracy theory is that this is the UFC sticking it to the Nate Diaz with this matchup.

Petroski is a wrestler! He has a spotty record, but he is solid. And a bad matchup for Nick Maximov. Maximov could steal two rounds with his grapple heavy approach, but I think Petroski could turn the tables on him and be the aggressor in the grappling exchanges, and I expect him to be better later in the fight.

Tatsuro Taira ITD +110 (47.62%) – 1.5u

It is tough to have too much confidence in someone who has not yet debuted in the UFC, but I believe the Taira hyped to be justified. And his opponent is also yet to prove himself in the UFC. And has faced much worse competition. And he looks to be the worse athlete overall. Like this bet.

Allan Nascimento SUB +525 (16.00%) – .25u

Small flier on Allan via sub. Hadley has been grapple heavy in most of his fights, and Allan has 13 subs on his record. Allan has the octagon experience and I expect him to fresher late. Like this value.

Amanda Ribas ML +146 (40.65%) – 1u
Amanda Ribas SUB +750 (11.76%) – .25u

Katlyn is solid. She can point fight her way, and even grapple her way to 3 round decisions against really solid fighters. But she has a tough time hanging with some of the better fighters and athletes in the sport. And while it is admirable to be able to do what she does, she is not dangerous or physical enough to take her opponents out. She has a clear athletic ceiling.

I think we are forgetting how good Ribas is. She is easy to love, but she is a lifelong martial artist and really solid athlete. We remember the Marina KO, but Ribas dominated that 1st round with nearly 4 minutes of control time. She grabbed a nasty body lock and pulled her easily to the ground.

Much is being made about Ribas moving up, but she looked good in her lone UFC flyweight fight! Winning via first round sub against PVZ. And Katlyn is not the most physically imposing flyweight.

I expect Ribas to be healthy and strong at flyweight, and her suppior grappling and physicality could make the sub line here look like a steal. We’ll see. Hopefully this read ends up looking as good as it feels now!

Ion Cutelaba DEC +600 (14.29%) – .75u

I think we see D1 Ion here, he could take Spann out early. But I think this fight could be a grind. And that grind will favour D1 Ion.

Also like when sizeable favourites have DEC lines like this.

Cutelaba – Rakic PARLAY +115 (46.51%) – 4.5u

First leg of the parlay chain! I think both of these guys can at the least, survive on the feet. But hopefully they both wrestle. Similar fights for both.

Cutelaba – Rakic – Taira – Grant PARLAY +288 (25.77%) – 2u

Adding in Taira and Grant. Like Taira a lot more. But have a singles bet on him already. I will also add Taira into a parlay later without Grant.

‘Araujo vs Lee CMPTL 2RD’ – ‘Maximov vs Petroski Over 1.5’ PARLAY -145 (59.18%) – 4u

Parlaying up two likely overs. Doing this parlay independent first.

Cutelaba – Rakic – Taira – ‘Araujo vs Lee CMPTL 2RD’ – ‘Maximov vs Petroski Over 1.5’ PARLAY +391 (20.37%) – 3.5u

Like this parlay.

Lee – Ribas PARLAY +343 (22.57%) – 1.5u

Small independant parlay.

Cutelaba – Rakic – Taira – Grant – Lee – Ribas PARLAY +1616 (5.83%) – 1.25u

Continuing the chain of straight picks parlay

Cutelaba – Rakic – Taira – Grant – Lee – Ribas – Petroski – Nascimento – Hill PARLAY +48573 (.21%) – .5u

Last leg of the main chain!! Got some dogs in here so pretty juicy line.

Taira ITD – Rakic ITD PARLAY +443 (18.42%) – 1.5u

Parlaying up two of my fave ITD props.

Taira ITD – Rakic ITD – Lee DEC PARLAY +1149 (8.01%) – .75u

Adding in Lee DEC to a mini prop chain.

Petroski DEC – Taira ITD – Lee DEC – Ribas SUB – Grant ITD – Rakic ITD PARLAY +131329 (0.08%) – .1u

The long shot this week! And it is a juicy one..
Good luck!!