Kevin Croom ML +150 (40.00%) – 1u

Like Crooms experience, style, and size advantage here. Croom has a checkered record, but he is worth a healthy flier here.

Istela Nunes TKO +500 (16.67%) – .25u

Istela Nunes is a much higher level striker, she was a former world Muay Thai champ and she has fought the better competition. Willing to take a flier at +500 that she can make Hughes quit on the feet.

Jordan Leavitt ML +125 (44.44%) – 1u
Jordan Leavitt SUB +295 (25.32%) – .5u

I like Jordan at these prices. He has not made his way too far up the UFC ladder, but he does has some UFC wins. And he is the type to spam takedowns and sub attempts. And while Ogden also looks to be a grappler, he has been fighting regional competition up until recently, is taking this fight on short notice, and 3 of his 4 losses come via sub.

Ogden’s size worries me, but I am assuming Leavitt is the one who is UFC calibur, because he has proved he is and he is the one that is plus money here. Like the bet.

Martin Buday ITD -185 (64.91%) – 1.5u

I will have more money on Buday in some parlays. But I don’t see Barnett being able to survive 15 minutes. Buday has a chin, and he is a terrible style matchup for Barnett. He will lean on Barnett and wear him down, if these big boys haven’t get clipped and taken out early, I think Barnett is too exhausted to see the scorecards.

Ange Loosa ML +163 (38.02%) – 1.5u
Ange Loosa DEC +350 (22.22%) – .25u

Loosa is coming off a 3 round win against UFC vet John Howard 2 weeks ago, and before that he had a great fight with the killer Jack Della Maddalena on DWCS. Jack has some really powerful and clean boxing, and Loosa is the only guy who made the scorecards durings Jack’s 11 fight win streak.

Loosa likes to spam the takedown, and I think Lazzez will have a tough time staying on his feet. I can see him stealing two round with his wrestling while the striking is more or less even.

Loosa is taking this fight on short notice, but I think he will prove to be on a different level. Like him at these prices.

Baeza vs Fialho UNDER 2.5 -135 (57.45%) – 2u
Miguel Baeza ITD +110 (47.62%) – .5u

Baeza has hit a skid after starting his career undefeated and his UFC career with 3 finishes. While I don’t love betting on fighters on losing streaks, Baeza has the skills to take out his opponent in this one. Hedging an under 2.5 rounds incase he gets clipped, as the boxing of Fialho and Baeza’s chin could be the biggest risk.

But Baeza should be the more versatile striker, and I think the leg kicks specifically will be the difference. Baeza is only 29, and was competing with some of the best in the UFC. When we look back in a year or two I wouldn’t be surprised to see Baeza back on track.

Gadzhi Omargadzhiev ML -125 (55.56%) – 2u

Going with the grappler here. Gadzhi also has some clean striking, and a better strength of schedule.

Vicente Luque ITD -105 (51.22%) – 1.5u

I really like Luque here, forget that he already KOd Belal in the first round, I think he also also improved far more than Belal since then. And, bet on what has happened, not what you hope will happen.

Also, stylistically, Luque has the advantage. Luque is much more dangerous on the feet, and he has some of the best submissions in the division. So it will be tough for Belal to just spam the takedown for 25 minutes.

Like Luque a lot in this fight. He could make a statement with this one. Don’t sleep on Luque at 170.

Sabatini – Buday PARLAY -148 (59.68%) – 2.5u

First leg of the parlay chain! Buday’s only chance of losing is getting clipped, but he has a chin, and Sabatini is a bigger better version of his opponent. Rightful big favourite.

Sabatini – Buday – Nunes PARLAY +144 (40.98%) – 2.5u

Adding in Nunes to the front of the parlay chain.

Baeza – Omargadzhiev – Luque PARLAY +336 (22.94%) – 2.5u

Separate parlay of some of my favourites.

Sabatini – Buday – Nunes – Luque – Omargadzhiev – Baeza PARLAY +961 (9.43%) – 1u

Linking the two parlays.

Sabatini – Buday – Nunes – Luque – Omargadzhiev – Baeza – Loosa PARLAY +2733 (3.53%) – .5u

Adding in Loosa to the two sets of parlays!

Sabatini – Buday – Nunes – Luque – Omargadzhiev – Baeza – Loosa – Leavitt – Croom PARLAY +15483 (.64%) – .25u

The final full chain!

Buday ITD – Luque ITD PARLAY +194 (34.01%) – 1.5u

Like these two to win ITD. Parlaying it up.

Buday ITD – Luque ITD – Baeza ITD PARLAY +518 (16.18%) – .5u

Adding Baeza ITD

Nunes TKO – Leavitt SUB – Buday ITD – Loosa DEC – Baeza ITD – Luque ITD PARLAY +63155 (0.16%) – .1u

The long shot this week!
Good luck!!