Mark Madsen ML -105 (51.22%) – 1u

Pichel has shown below average takedown defence in the UFC sitting at 25%, so Madsen should be able to steal two rounds with his wrestling. Pichel could come alive late, but his last finish came in 2017.

Mike Malott ML -200 (66.67%) – 1u
Mike Malott RD 1, 2 +135 (42.55%) – .5u

I think Malott has the ability to make some noise in the 170 pound division.

Darian Weeks ML +300 (25.00%) – 1u
Darian Weeks ITD +400 (20.00%) – .5u

Fade warning!! I am fading Ian Garry.

Ian Garry’s last fight before he got into the UFC was against a fighter with a 17-6 record, who spent most of his career at 155. He displayed his power in his UFC debut against a fighter who went 0-3 in his UFC run. And in that fight, Garry was getting tagged. Weeks has pro boxing experience and 19 amatuer fights! He looked good against Barberena, and showed an ability to take the fight to the ground. I like this line

Mackenzie Dern ML -120 (54.55%) – 1.5u

Dern will have a much easier time grabbing Torres than she did Rodriguez. She should be able to take two rounds with her grappling. And hopefully can even find the sub.

Khamzat Chimaev RD 1, 2 -175 (63.64%) – 2u

Right as I was placing this bet my book changed the line from -150 to -175. Frig sakes.

Still like the bet. 10 minutes will be a long time in there for Gilbert. He might be able to grapple his way out of danger in the 1st, so making a safe bet and betting 1 and 2.

Petr Yan ITD +125 (44.44%) – .5u

I see a lot of people throwing some money on Aljo. And I get it, he looks great. He sounds confident. But I’d recommend those people watch that fight from last year again.

Yan defended 16 of 17 takedown attempts. And the one takedown Aljo did get, was the very first one he tried. And Yan got right back up.

And Yan is the boxer, and has displayed the better striking in the octagon, by far. I am not completely sure he finishes, but I like the line. Little sprinkle.

Alexander Volkanovski RD 1,2,3 +300 (25.00%) – 1.5u

Alex is on a whole different level. I expect Alex to be able to get inside and put The Korean Zombie away. I like being given a 25% chance that he can do that over the span of 15 minutes.

Khamzat – Yan – Volkanovski PARLAY -168 (62.69%) – 5u

First leg of the parlay chain!

Khamzat – Yan – Volkanovski – Malott – Dern PARLAY +346 (22.42%) – 2.5u

Adding Malott and Dern.

Khamzat – Yan – Volkanovski – Malott – Dern – Madsen PARLAY +772 (11.47%) – .5u

Adding Madsen to the chain, small addition, small units.

Khamzat – Yan – Volkanovski – Malott – Dern – Madsen – Weeks PARLAY +3387 (2.87%) – 1.5u

I like this parlay. Placing a larger than average bet at these prices.

Khamzat – Yan – Volkanovski – Malott – Dern – Madsen – Weeks – Arce – Hernandez PARLAY +8022 (1.23%) – .25u

The final addition to the full chain!

Malott – Dern PARLAY +160 (38.46%) – 2u

Adding in a side chain to hedge some of the bigger favourites!

Malott – Dern – Madsen PARLAY +446 (18.32%) – .75u

Adding Madsen to the side chain.

Malott RD 1,2 – Chimaev RD 1,2 – Volkanovski RD 1,2,3 PARLAY +1285 (7.22%) – .25u

Taking a healthy flier on these props parlayed up.

Weeks ITD – Malott RD 1, 2 – Madsen vs Pichel DRAW – Chimaev RD 1,2 – Yan ITD – Volkanovski RD 1,2,3 PARLAY +1043709 (0.01%) – .1u

The long shot this week! And it is by far my longest shot!!
Good luck!!