Dustin Jacoby ML -190 (65.52%) – 2u

This should be a striking battle, and Jacoby should be the more polished and experienced striker.

Devonte Smith ML -150 (60.00%) – 2u

Devonte Smith might be one of the biggest underperformers in the UFC. He has had trouble putting a string of wins together, but there are some serious skills, and natural abilities there. In his last fight he dropped Mullarkey multiple times before he was overwhelmed and finished. He has a favourable matchup here, Klien is a striker, and he has some good kicks. But Smith should be able to handle him here.

Tim Elliot ML +180 (35.71%) – 1u

Tim Elliott is being disrespected by the lines, and Tagir is being given too much respect. Tagir had troubles against a grappler in his last time out, and Elliott is not going to be easy to handle on the ground. Elliott should have better striking, and he has far more experience. Like this line.

Nick Negumereanu ITD +225 (30.77%) – .25u

Some flier on an underdog in a close fight with a 90%+ finishing rate. Against a chinny opponent.

Marina Rodriguez ML -265 (72.60%) – 2u
Marina Rodriguez ITD +250 (28.57%) – 1u

This should be a stand up fight, and that should heavily favour the better striker, Marina. Will have a some money on Marina in parlays as well, so putting a larger bet on her finishing the fight.

Jalin Turner ML -155 (60.78%) – 2.5u
Jalin Turner ITD +140 (41.67%) – 1u
Turner – Mullarkey UNDER 2.5 -165 (62.26%) – 2u

I like Jalin in this fight. He should be the better striker, and he has showed a willingness to take the fight to the ground recently. He’s also the more physically gifted of the two.

Mullarkey will be game though. He has looked really good over his last two fights. He had a really impressive come from behind KO in his last fight against Devonte Smith.

We could see Mullarkey clip him and take him out. Betting the under as a sort of hedge, as I do expect someone to be finished. -165 is generous. in 34 combined fights, they have been to 5 decisions.

Kevin Holland ITD -120 (54.55%) – 1u

This should be a good fight for Holland. I am excepting him to look good in his welterweight debut. Putting a small bet on him finishing, even though Oliveira could survive. Have Holland in some parlays.

Edson Barboza ML +135 (42.55%) – 2u
Edson Barboza ITD +240 (29.41%) – .75u

I am fading the Bryce Mitchell here. He has showed an ability to land some punches as of late – but Edson is going to have a large advantage on the feet. Then the question becomes, will Mitchell be able to take Barboza down and keep him down? He will try, alot. And I am sure he will land some takedowns. But Edson has close to an 80% career UFC takedown defense. He had a 70% TDD against Khabib! I think Edson will be able to keep this on the feet, and prove himself to be the better overall fighter.

Rodriguez – Holland PARLAY -139 (58.16%) – 2u

My small chalk for the event. Feel good about both these picks.

Rodriguez – Holland – Barboza PARLAY +301 (24.94%) – 1u

Adding an underdog pick to my two chalks to add to each of these picks.

Jacoby – Smith – Elliot – Rodriguez – Turner – Holland – Barboza PARLAY +4601 (2.13%) – .25u

Taking all my picks and parlying them up.

Barboza ITD – Holland ITD – Turner ITD – Rodriguez ITD PARLAY +5136 (1.91%) – .25u

Small bet on highest conviction props.

Barboza ITD – Holland ITD – Turner ITD – Rodriguez ITD – Smith ITD – Elliott PARLAY +32154 (.31%) – .1u

The long shot parlay for the week! Good luck!