Jesse Strader TKO +425 (19.05%) – .25u

Ok, this is not exactly a UFC caliber fight. Chad Anheliger could grind out a win, or stop the fight, but he keeps his hands really low. But there is no reason for him to be this big of a favourite. And I am willing to place a small bet that Strader is gonna catch him, because he does have some power.

David Onama ML -165 (62.26%) – 2.5u

I am a big believer in Onama, and this is a great stylistic matchup for him. I think he gets the TKO, but playing it safe with a solid ML bet.

Joaquin Buckley ML -170 (62.96%) – 2.5u
Joaquin Buckley SUB +1800 (5.26%) – .25u

Ok – I am a little nervous about this one. I really hope Joaquin Buckley plays it safe and grinds Alhassan down, especially early. If he chooses to just put on a show and ‘stand and bang’, then all the more power to him, but the odds in this fight change significantly.

But Buckley showed a willingness to shoot for the takedown in his last fight, and the hope is this fight ends up with Joaquin Buckley on top for much of the fight, and the +1800 sub prop becomes a possibility.

Or – these two will just trade it out, and the first one to connect wins. We’ll see. Please be smart, Joaquin!

Jim Miller ML +147 (40.49%) – 2u
Jim Miller ITD +107 (48.31%) – .25u

This line is ridiculous. Too much emphasis is being put on the age gap, and Motta’s recent win streak.

Jim Miller has the most fights in UFC history! And he is a tough style matchup for Motta. Motta has a reputation as a power puncher, but as he’s fought better guys on his way to the UFC, the KOs have not come as easily, and actually getting a KO in the UFC is entirely different – especially against a guy like Jim Miller!

Kyle Daukaus TKO +650 (13.33%) – .25u

Ok – I was going to avoid this fight. Didn’t really like any of the lines, nor did I trust either of them. Both these guys feel like candidates to under or over perform. Hard to get a read.

But – watching closer, I think Kyle Daukaus’ power and striking is being undervalued, and Pickett can get clipped. Daukaus has clipped guys in fights before, happy to take a small flier at +650

Bautista TKO – Milller ITD – Buckley ITD – Onama TKO – Strader TKO – Walker TKO PARLAY +119521 (.08%) – .1u
Bautista TKO – Milller ITD – Buckley ITD – Onama TKO PARLAY +5596 (1.76%) – .25u

Ok, I will be honest here. When I started this website, and started tracking and posting my bets, I told myself that I would generally avoid parlays. I was going to take a more conservative approach, find the value in lines – and long term I will have a solid track record.

But – the more I’ve thought about it, these low risk, high reward plays seem to be an effective way to utilize leverage in betting. I will absolutely still be very diligent about each pick I make, and I will treat these as more “fun” plays. But I am curious to see if I can get lucky and make one of these work some day. Would really only take one to be worth it.

Also – and once again, to be completely honest, cashing a big play like this would be a great way to build my reputation. As that is my key focus, as I do not sell ads on my site, and I do not sell my picks.

Bautista – Pearce – Onama – Porter – Skelly – Miller – Buckley PARLAY +2031 (4.69%) – .25u
Bautista – Onama – Miller PARLAY +415 (19.42%) – .5u

Small plays on a group of my favourite picks. And slightly bigger play on my 3 favorite.