Tony Gravely ML -250 (71.43%) – 2.5u
Tony Gravely ITD +185 (35.09%) – .75u

I like Tony Gravely a lot in this fight. Even at these prices. He is much better than his record indicates. And has experience against a much higher level of opponent.

Michael Morales ML -120 (54.55%) – 1.5u
Michael Morales ITD +250 (28.57%) – .5u

I am booking my ticket on the Michael Morales hype train with these bets. He has a tough opponent in front of him in Trevin Giles. And I would guess a lot of sharps like Giles at these prices given his UFC experience in a higher weight class.

But I am banking on Michael Morales making a statement in his UFC debut – on PPV! Looking forward to this one.

Cody Stamann ML +160 (38.46%) – 2u

This line is way off. Cody Stamann has competed with some of the best in the world at 135. And he is a tough style matchup for Said.

I am happy to make a sizeable bet on Cody at these prices.

Andre Fialho TKO +400 (205) – .5u

I am taking a flier on Fialho continuing his KO streak against an overrated opponent. Pereira is the one with the UFC experience, but Fialho has arguably fought better competition. He has 15 minutes to land a big punch and get him out.

Deiveson Figueiredo ITD +245 (29%) – .5u

Ok. I am going to play both sides of the fence here.

My head is telling me to go with Moreno. So often in these rematches and trilogies, the smart bet is to bet on the guy who most recently proved themselves to be the better fighter.

However – there is a part of me that still believes Deiveson Figueiredo is the better fighter. And I would like to try and make some money betting on that gut feeling.

I like this line. +245 on Figgy finishing the fight? We’ll see.

Ciryl Gane ML -150 (295) – 1u

This fight is so f——- crazy. I have gone back and forth so many times over the last few weeks. Considering making a over/under rounds bet. Hedging and betting on both guys!

But ultimately, I am making the simple bet on who I think is the better, more well rounded fighter.

I am so unsure I originally had this listed as a .5u bet. But that is too boring. It is the main event! I need to do at least 1u.

Tony Gravely – Michael Morales – Cody Stamann – Andre Fialho – PARLAY – +2060 (4.63%) – .25u

Parlays can be dangerous. And a lot of fun..

I do not plan on posting tons of parlays.
But parlays can be a good way to utilize a sort of “leverage” when betting. Especially if there are couple dogs you like. Risking a very small unit amount to win big. So if I am right, I will be REALLY right at UFC 270.

We’ll see.